An unchanged England side will face struggling Italy this
Saturday at Twickenham, with English grand slam dreams unexpectedly ignited
after victory in Cardiff. It may be Valentine's Day, but there will be no love lost between the sides when they take to the turf, even if one of them wears a red rose above their hearts.
England are the obvious favourites going into this game –
even the most passionate and optimistic of Italian fans would admit that – but there
is no guarantee that the scoreline will be one-sided. Although the last meeting
between these teams ended 11-52 to England, Italy’s last visit to Twickenham
was a tight affair, with only seven points between the sides. In the five
meetings before that, three were won by five points or less. England should
take heed from history – the Azzurri are no pushovers, and only a late flourish
from Ireland last week made the scoreline more flattering than perhaps it
should have been.
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Mike Brown bagged two tries the last time he faced Italy |
Having said that, England will be all too aware that points
difference could be the deciding factor when they face off against Ireland in
Dublin at the end of the tournament, and the men in white will be looking to
pile on the points. However, they must not go into the game expecting to score
tries from the first minute – Italy are a better side than that. England should
aim to strangle the life out of the Italians before looking to ship the ball
wide. By relying on another strong forward performance, dominating the set
piece and building a lead through penalties, England will put pressure on Italy
and force them to start chasing the game. This is when mistakes start to be
made, mismatches occur, and the likes of Jonathan Joseph, Jonny May, and
Anthony Watson can snap up tries.
As always, Sergio
Parisee will be at the heart of this Italian side. The Italian captain has
more caps than England’s entire backrow, whilst recalled flanker Mauro Bergamasco has the same amount
(100). If the trio of Chris Robshaw,
James Haskell, and Billy Vunipola can gain the upper hand
over their Italian counterparts, and keep Captain Fantastic quiet, England will
have an easier time of it.
There is experience in the Italian backline as well, albeit
out of position – fullback Andrea Masi
moves into the centres for the injured Michele Campagnaro. This is a somewhat
strange choice considering the danger posed by the 10 – 12 combination of Allan
and Haimona in the final minutes against Ireland. Having measured up so well
against the experienced duo of Jamie Roberts and Jonathan Davies in Cardiff, Luther Burrell and Jonathan Joseph should be full of confidence going into this
encounter.
Whilst there have been changes aplenty amongst the Azzurri,
it seems like the first time in living memory that Stuart Lancaster has
selected the same 23 two weeks in a row. This can only be a good decision
following the performance against Wales. If the likes of James Haskell,
Jonathan Joseph, and Dave Attwood continue to deliver performances on a level
with last week, the absences of sure starters Manu Tuilagi, Courtney Lawes, and
Tom Wood will be barely noticeable. It’s a selection headache for Stuart
Lancaster, but a delight for England fans who, only a few weeks ago, were so
worried about the impact that injuries were having with a World Cup only months
away. Hopefully we will get a chance to see what Danny Cipriani and Tom Croft
can contribute this week, after they went unused against Wales.
Prediction: The
question is not so much who will win, but by how much. Expect England to start
slow, accumulating points through the boot of George Ford, before opening up in
the second half. Sadly, it’s set to be heartbreak once again for Italy this
Valentine’s Day. England by 20.
Match Information:
England: 15 Mike
Brown, 14 Anthony Watson, 13 Jonathan Joseph, 12 Luther Burrell, 11 Jonny May,
10 George Ford, 9 Ben Youngs, 8 Billy Vunipola, 7 Chris Robshaw (c), 6 James
Haskell, 5 George Kruis, 4 Dave Attwood, 3 Dan Cole, 2 Dylan Hartley, 1 Joe
Marler.
Replacements: 16 Tom Youngs, 17 Mako Vunipola, 18 Kieran
Brookes, 19 Nick Easter, 20 Tom Croft, 21 Richard Wigglesworth, 22 Danny
Cipriani, 23 Billy Twelvetrees.
Italy: 15 Luke
McLean, 14 Leonardo Sarto, 13 Luca Morisi, 12 Andrea Masi, 11 Giovambattista
Venditti, 10 Kelly Haimona, 9 Edoardo Gori, 8 Sergio Parisse, 7 Francesco
Minto, 6 Mauro Bergamasco, 5 Marco Bortolami, 4 George Fabio Biagi, 3 Martin
Castrogiovanni 2 Leonardo Ghiraldini, 1 Alberto De Marchi.
Replacements: 16 Andrea Manici, 17 Matias Aguero, 18 Dario
Chistolini, 19 Joshua Furno, 20 Samuela Vunisa, 21 Guglielmo Palazzani, 22
Tommaso Allan, 23 Giulio Bisegni.
Date: Saturday,
February 14
Kickoff: 14:30
GMT
Venue: Twickenham
Referee: Johnny
Lacey (Ireland)
Assistant Referees:
Pascal Gauzère (France), Mike Fraser (New Zealand)
TMO: George Ayoub
(Australia)
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