Even if the Mad Hatter was put in charge of a rugby team, he
would probably bring more decipherable strategy and reasoned selection than the
coaches of the two teams meeting in Edinburgh this Saturday. In fact, seldom
has there been a match where there has been more focus on the men off the pitch
than those playing on it, but the curious selection policies of both Scott
Johnson and Philippe Saint-Andre mean that both coaches have come under intense
media scrutiny in the build up to this game.
The game takes place within a context that few would have
thought possible several weeks ago; France, having been talked up as potential
favourites, have been all but written-off by most after a dismal capitulation
against Wales, whilst Scotland, so hopeful after placing 3rd in
2013, had scored only 6 points all championship before a spirited last-gasp
victory over Italy, and are now hunting a second European scalp in an attempt
to salvage something from this Six Nations. When the Gallic Rooster takes to
the field against the Gaelic Thistle of Scotland on Saturday, both teams will
be desperate for a result.
Despite that ignominious loss in Cardiff two weeks ago,
France can still win the Six Nations, a fact that Saint-Andre will no doubt
have reminded his squad of. Whilst many pundits have discarded France from
their thoughts, this is Les Bleus we’re talking about, and if history has
taught us anything, it is that this is a side that can be as dangerous one week
as they were inept the last. Should France manage a win at Murrayfield, then
next week’s final showdown in Paris could still be the tournament decider, a
thought that is both bizarre and scintillating.
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Alex Dunbar will be hoping to repeat his two-try haul against Italy |
Other changes, both forced and strategic, have been made; Brice
Mach comes in for the injured Dimitri Szarzewski, with Alexandre Lapandry,
Maxime Machenaud and Maxime Medard all coming into the side as Saint-Andre’s
selection roulette wheel continues to spin. So many changes can only be
damaging for a team whose confidence already appears to be shattered.
Scott Johnson is another man who has been playing Russian roulette
with a rugby ball; Kelly Brown, so recently jettisoned from the helm and squad
altogether, returns to reclaim his starting place and captain’s armband,
apparently because, amongst other reasons, his style of play will suit the Murrayfield
turf…
David Denton is also restored to the starting line-up, with
Johnnie Beattie accommodatingly moving over to 6. Whilst these changes will
doubtless affect the balance of the back-row, Denton has been one of Scotland’s
stand-out players this Spring, and his inclusion indicates that Scotland will
be hoping to take advantage of France’s weakness in this area.
Geoff Cross coming into the front-row is the only other
change in this Scotland side – if such consistency of selection can be
sustained, then there is hope that the squad can begin to develop. For all of
Scott Johnson’s talk of finding out about players and testing combinations,
there is only so much time that can be given over to experimentation,
especially when said experiments continue to blow up in the scientist’s face.
Prediction:
It’s hard to know which way to go with these two teams; both
are as unpredictable and frustrating as the other, showing equal amounts of
promise and panic in their play. However, Scotland have been showing signs of
improvement, whilst France seem to be caught in something of a downward spiral,
a situation that key omissions won’t have aided. Add into this mix the
Murrayfield crowd, and I believe that, so long as they can get off to a good
start, Scotland will be able to see the game out, breaking apart France’s
championship hopes as they salvage their own rugby reputation. Scotland to win
by 7 points.
SQUADS:
Scotland: 15-Stuart Hogg, 14-Tommy Seymour, 13-Alex Dunbar,
12-Matt Scott, 11-Sean Lamont, 10-Duncan Weir, 9-Greig Laidlaw; 1-Ryan Grant,
2-Scott Lawson, 3-Geoff Cross, 4-Richie Gray, 5-Jim Hamilton, 6-Johnnie
Beattie, 7-Kelly Brown (c), 8-David Denton
Replacements: 16-Ross Ford, 17-Moray Low, 18-Euan Murray,
19-Tim Swinson, 20-Ryan Wilson, 21-Chris Cusiter, 22-Duncan Taylor, 23-Max
Evans
France: 15-Brice Dulin, 14-Yoann Huget, 13-Mathieu
Bastareaud, 12-Maxime Mermoz, 11-Maxime Medard, 10-Jules Plisson, 9-Maxime
Machenaud; 1-Thomas Domingo, 2-Brice Mach, 3-Nicolas Mas, 4-Pascal Pape (c),
5-Yoann Maestri, 6-Sebastien Vahaamahina, 7-Alexandre Lapandry, 8-Damien Chouly
Replacements: 16-Guilhem Guirado, 17-Vincent Debaty,
18-Rabah Slimani, 19-Alexandre Flanquart, 20-Antonie Claassen, 21-Jean-Marc
Doussain, 22-Remi Tales, 23-Gael Fickou
Date: Saturday, March 8
Kick-off: 17:00 GMT
Venue: Murrayfield Stadium, Cardiff
Referee: Chris Pollock (New Zealand)
Touch judges: George Clancy (Ireland) & JP Doyle
(England)
TMO: Gareth Simmonds (Wales)
Article by Alex Hawksworth-Brookes
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