Saturday 16 November 2013

Autumn Internationals Predictions: England, Scotland & Wales

England v New Zealand 

Following last year’s unexpected victory over the World Champions, England will be hoping to deliver a similar result this time around. However, unconvincing performances against Australia and Argentina have left many wondering if this England team is capable of recording back-to-back wins against the All Blacks.

New Zealand come into the game on an impressive unbeaten run, looking to become the first team in the professional era to go an entire season without a defeat. As if such a record was not motivation enough, they will be aching to avenge the upset from last year. Few would argue that there is a better team in the world than New Zealand; everything they do is to the highest standard. That does not make them unbeatable, but it does make playing against them incredibly difficult.

England will need to bring their very best game to be in with a shot. If their concentration slips like it has done against other Southern Hemisphere sides, New Zealand will capitalise ruthlessly. With a centre partnership that is far from threatening, and second choice wingers on both sides of the field, there are more weak spots in the squad than there arguably should be. To be in with a shot, England will need to score tries, and I am not convinced this is something they are capable of doing consistently, especially against the world’s number one team.

Prediction: New Zealand by at least 10.

Wales v Argentina 

Wales will be aching after last week’s disappointing loss to South Africa, a brutal encounter which saw several more key players sidelined through injury. Warren Gatland is now without both of his first choice centres, and the front row will not be the fortress it usually is with Adam Jones missing. Strength in depth has been a real weakness of this Welsh side, as the summer tour to Japan demonstrated. Whilst the loss of key players is not ideal, this will give Gatland an opportunity to blood some new players and develop the squad beyond the all-star starting fifteen.

It is fortunate that Argentina are the side that he has to do this against; the Pumas have had a woeful season that has yet to feature a win. Despite England going to sleep for a good thirty minutes last week, they never really looked threatening. A lot can certainly change in a week, and the Argentines will be hoping to demonstrate as much in Cardiff. A loss for both teams would be a massively disappointing result, but this is very much Wales’ game to lose. With home advantage, they will want to put in a scintillating display in order to get the march towards World Cup Glory back on track.

Prediction: Wales by 10.

Scotland v South Africa

Scotland come off the back of a convincing win against Japan. Such a result is hardly surprising, but it should serve to give the side winning confidence as they come into this clash. The gap in the rankings between these two sides may make the result appear predetermined, but previous encounters at Murrayfield have proven otherwise. Scotland have a good record of playing hard, attritional rugby against the world’s top sides, and will look to do the same in this match.

Despite this, South Africa will be expecting a win. They looked comfortable for much of the game against Wales and seem to have cemented their reputation as the world’s number two side. If conditions allow, they will hope to play a more expansive game, taking on Scotland in the backs. However, if it comes down to it, the Boks are more than capable of playing the power game up front, something they did with tremendous effect against New Zealand in the Rugby Championship.


Prediction: South Africa by two scores.

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